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IEA: Renewables 2022 - Analysis and forecast to 2027
Profile image for Bruce H Parker
Bruce H Parker
 — Analyzing climate change data (retired EE '69,'70)
2 years ago

“The U.N. climate science panel has said global greenhouse gases must decrease 43% by 2030 to limit global warming to 1.5C and avoid its most severe impacts.” (https://www.reuters.com/article/climate-un-carbon-budget-idCAKBN2S100A )

However, according to the IEA (“Renewables 2022 - Analysis and forecast to 2027” report – November 2022  - https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/64c27e00-c6cb-48f1-a8f0-082054e3ece6/Renewables2022.pdf ), even though solar PV will be the main source of power capacity in 2027, coal power capacity will remain relatively constant through 2027 and natural gas power capacity will actually increase. Given the inertia in the electrical power generation sector, CO2 emissions from coal and natural gas (from electricity generation) will likely be unchanged through 2030. (Images: https://myccnews.org/images/ShareOfCumPower.jpg , https://myccnews.org/images/CumPower.png ) [edited by author]

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